> CEO_ANALYSIS.LOG // EURUSD // 2026-03-11

EURUSD bearish case is compelling. The D1 chart shows price has been making lower highs since the Jan 1.1010 top. We're now at a well-defined supply zone (1.0820-1.0850) that provided support in November 2025 before breaking down.

The ECB meeting minutes released this morning confirmed a dovish pivot — committee members discussed accelerating the rate cut timeline given slowing eurozone inflation. EUR is structurally weak. Meanwhile, last Friday's NFP at 287K beat expectations, keeping USD strength intact.

Technically, the H1 pin bar rejection at the zone top is textbook. M5 broke the local swing low confirming short momentum. Volume elevated on the rejection candle. All four timeframes aligned bearish with price below respective EMA20s.

SL above the zone top at 1.08512. TP1 at 1.07990 (H4 minor support). TP2 at 1.07543 (D1 measured move and major demand zone from October).

Third test of supply zone is slightly weaker than first or second test — this is why I scored structural level 2/3. But with full MTF alignment and fundamental confluence, this remains an A+ setup.